I agree 100%. Gone are the old crazy valuations of SN companies (Reference: Tech Crunch April 18, 2008 - "
Ning worth USD $500 million")
Their platform at $50 a month ($600 per year) is high in the current market for savvy shoppers. So they will lose the market share from this group. They are counting more on their brand being so strong people will flock to them.
Although a different market, Vonage had spent and spent marketing themselves as the low cost VOIP provider. As a result, their
Financials clearly show a company doing close to a Billion in Revenue. This is indicative of millions of customers. If they lose a few that are cost savvy (Vonage has seriously raised its rates this year and removed low cost services) then the loss is made up by the customers that don't care or know better.
Ning is nowhere's near this type of position.
The only benefit they have as a SAAS platform is that as opposed to a 'do it yourself' SN service, they are providing the updates. It takes hours to really initiate the service right, but they would take care of any bugs, updates and security....For many non-technical people, $50 a month may be worth it.
Marc Lesnick
Conference Organizer
Social Networking Conference